Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.006989 0.008144 0.009512 0.011275 0.013520 0.016333 0.020205
2025-06-29 0.005469 0.006853 0.008674 0.011325 0.015233 0.021048 0.030944
2025-07-06 0.004733 0.006229 0.008347 0.011720 0.017296 0.026895 0.046862
2025-07-13 0.004329 0.005932 0.008344 0.012499 0.020132 0.035320 0.074737
2025-07-20 0.003947 0.005578 0.008153 0.012879 0.022377 0.043939 0.114030
2025-07-27 0.003589 0.005195 0.007828 0.012917 0.023949 0.052138 0.167027
2025-08-03 0.003307 0.004888 0.007568 0.012996 0.025637 0.061980 0.252944
2025-08-10 0.003008 0.004514 0.007129 0.012612 0.026093 0.068700 0.350358
2025-08-17 0.002718 0.004121 0.006600 0.011928 0.025559 0.071858 0.443420
2025-08-24 0.002486 0.003806 0.006176 0.011391 0.025257 0.075876 0.579293
2025-08-31 0.002371 0.003686 0.006105 0.011627 0.027242 0.091614 1.066394
2025-09-07 0.002214 0.003474 0.005828 0.011329 0.027529 0.100116 1.655181
2025-09-14 0.002022 0.003196 0.005416 0.010702 0.026786 0.104102 2.439248
2025-09-21 0.001914 0.003064 0.005288 0.010765 0.028471 0.126028 7.201677
2025-09-28 0.001843 0.002996 0.005281 0.011135 0.031504 0.165725 83.485266
2025-10-05 0.001806 0.002986 0.005394 0.011860 0.036493 0.243673 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001743 0.002920 0.005375 0.012214 0.040253 0.334605 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001665 0.002816 0.005257 0.012249 0.042609 0.428495 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001597 0.002726 0.005159 0.012323 0.045316 0.565382 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001509 0.002590 0.004939 0.011965 0.045433 0.648747 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001413 0.002430 0.004650 0.011328 0.043589 0.659924 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001332 0.002296 0.004412 0.010828 0.042386 0.693775 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001295 0.002254 0.004389 0.011048 0.045928 1.012695 NaN